This week

FOMC day

FOMC SEP release desk. Year-end median federal funds versus held H.15 effective funds. Official SEP only — not CME FedWatch.

Next FOMC SEP release

Next listed release: . Last listed release before today: .

Not a scheduled release day. Showing the last held release summary and the next listed calendar date.

Official schedule: Federal Reserve FOMC calendars. Dates are computed from the held schedule table — not hard-coded into this sentence.

Last SEP release

FOMC SEP year-end median federal funds claims on this desk: 0 correct, 0 missed, 1 open as of . Latest held SEP median for year-end 2025: 3.9 percent (meeting ). Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Summary of Economic Projections and H.15. Canonical: https://trackrecord.to/packs/fomc-day. Not a hit rate. Not CME FedWatch. Not a FOMC forecast published by TrackRecord.

SEP medians versus effective funds

SEP year-end median at each meeting date (not a daily official print). Chart window: earliest SEP meeting through latest held H.15. Weekly last held print for the chart; daily prints stay on the series card.

  1. · year-end 2025 SEP median 3.9 percent · Open · December EFFR —

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Summary of Economic Projections and H.15

Full scoreboard view: SEP versus effective funds.

SEP medians versus December outcome

Official SEP year-end median federal funds versus held H.15 December print when available. Correct / missed / open counts. Not a hit rate. Not FedWatch.

Full scoreboard view: SEP versus effective funds.

1 SEP median row
Meeting Horizon SEP median December as-of EFFR Result
year-end 2025 3.9 percent — — Open

Data atoms

Permanent observation URLs and official claim sources. Computed facts and citations only.

  1. Open · year-end 2025 median 3.9% · · Official source

Cite and embed

Paste the iframe on another website (height 220px). The parent page must reload to see a new print. via TrackRecord.

<iframe src="https://trackrecord.to/embed/v1/fed-effr" title="Effective federal funds via TrackRecord" loading="lazy" style="width:100%;height:220px;border:0"></iframe>

Embed on another website

FOMC SEP year-end 2025 median federal funds 3.9% (meeting 2025-06-18); H.15 effective federal funds —% as of —. Not FedWatch. via TrackRecord.
FOMC SEP year-end 2025 median federal funds 3.9% (meeting 2025-06-18); H.15 effective federal funds —% as of —. Not FedWatch. via TrackRecord.
https://trackrecord.to/packs/fomc-day

via TrackRecord