CBO Economic Outlook

We keep score. We do not play. Outlook holdings versus held Numbers where scored. No hit-rate %.

Official outlook scoreboard.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

10

Outlook · Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

Typed CBO outlook rows are held, but no matching official outcome series is wired to settle them.

0 correct 0 missed 10 open

By topic

  • US Interest Rates

    0 correct 0 missed 10 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

cbo.govOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

via TrackRecord

Claims

  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States real GDP growth (calendar year) for 2026 is 2.364 percent. · target 2.36 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States real GDP growth (calendar year) for 2027 is 1.861 percent. · target 1.86 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States CPI-U percentage change (calendar year) for 2026 is 2.924 percent. · target 2.92 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States CPI-U percentage change (calendar year) for 2027 is 2.547 percent. · target 2.55 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States core PCE price index percentage change (calendar year) for 2026 is 2.879 percent. · target 2.88 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States core PCE price index percentage change (calendar year) for 2027 is 2.444 percent. · target 2.44 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States unemployment rate (calendar year) for 2026 is 4.556 percent. · target 4.56 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States unemployment rate (calendar year) for 2027 is 4.535 percent. · target 4.54 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States federal funds rate (calendar year) for 2026 is 3.452 percent. · target 3.45 · cbo.gov
  • Open February 2026 CBO Economic Outlook: United States federal funds rate (calendar year) for 2027 is 3.389 percent. · target 3.39 · cbo.gov