FOMC SEP

We keep score. We do not play. Forecast holdings versus held Numbers where scored. No hit-rate %.

Official forecast scoreboard.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

3

Forecast · Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

Not scored against an official outcome yet.

0 correct 0 missed 3 open

By topic

  • US Employment

    0 correct 0 missed 1 open

  • US Inflation

    0 correct 0 missed 1 open

  • US Interest Rates

    0 correct 0 missed 1 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

federalreserve.govOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

via TrackRecord

Claims

  • Open June 2025 SEP median federal funds rate for year-end 2025 is 3.9 percent. · target 3.9 · federalreserve.gov
  • Open June 2025 SEP median unemployment rate for Q4 2025 is 4.5 percent. · target 4.5 · federalreserve.gov
  • Open June 2025 SEP median PCE inflation for 2025 is 3.0 percent Q4/Q4. · target 3.0 · federalreserve.gov