IMF WEO

We keep score. We do not play. Outlook holdings versus held Numbers where scored. No hit-rate %.

Official outlook scoreboard.

Official forecast scoreboard hub · Methodology v0.1

Fewer than 20 expired scorable claims are held, so this page does not publish a hit rate.

11

Outlook · Correct / missed / open counts. No hit-rate %.

Typed WEO rows are held, but no matching official outcome series is wired to settle them.

0 correct 0 missed 11 open

By topic

  • US Interest Rates

    0 correct 0 missed 11 open

SCORING RECORD

Methodology v0.1 uses R1, R2, and R4. Full claim source URLs stay on this face.

imf.orgOpen source

Read the scoring methodology · All officials

via TrackRecord

Claims

  • Open October 2025 IMF WEO: United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2025 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open October 2025 IMF WEO: United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2026 is 2.3 percent. · target 2.3 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States real GDP growth (NGDP_RPCH) for 2027 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States inflation (PCPIPCH) for 2026 is 3.2 percent. · target 3.2 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States inflation (PCPIPCH) for 2027 is 2.1 percent. · target 2.1 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States unemployment rate (LUR) for 2026 is 4.4 percent. · target 4.4 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States unemployment rate (LUR) for 2027 is 4.2 percent. · target 4.2 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States current account / GDP (BCA_NGDPD) for 2025 is -3.6 percent. · target -3.6 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States current account / GDP (BCA_NGDPD) for 2026 is -3.7 percent. · target -3.7 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States general government gross debt / GDP (GGXWDG_NGDP) for 2026 is 125.8 percent. · target 125.8 · imf.org
  • Open IMF WEO 9.0.0 (country update 9/30/2025): United States general government gross debt / GDP (GGXWDG_NGDP) for 2027 is 128.6 percent. · target 128.6 · imf.org